8 Comments
User's avatar
Walter Mundell's avatar

Thank you Paul, very good.

Paul Webborn's avatar

Your welcome Walter šŸ‘šŸ»

Tom Wilson's avatar

Good morning from USA. I am now a European football fan! While I appreciate you repeatedly stating the correct positioning strategy, I assume many are holding positions bought at less than optimal prices. (Prior to your tactical advice) I’m down on several positions over fifty percent. I would assume it makes complete sense to hold being the potential projections would negate the paper losses rather quickly without reaching the highest and extreme targets. Please comment. Thanks

Preston S's avatar

With you on this, Tom! Fwiw I'm holding on the basis that you state, ie, if projections to not even extremes (e.g. WIF) would erase (very painful currently) paper losses.

Paul Webborn's avatar

Hi Tom and Preston

This is exactly why every subscriber's de-risking strategy will be different

It all comes down to your own average entry price

Taking WIF as an example:

Initial - $1.40 to $4.85 (previous ATH)

Potential - $4.85 to $10

Extreme - $10 to $30

Subscribers who have continued allocating during the current Allocation phase will have significantly reduced their average entry price

That means many may not need the Extreme targets to recover previous paper losses

This is why I focus so heavily on positioning rather than trying to pick the exact bottom

Paul šŸ‘šŸ»

Paul Webborn's avatar

Hi Tom

Good question

Many subscribers will still be holding positions from before the current Allocation phase

I can't comment on individual portfolios or tell anyone whether to hold or sell

What I can say is that the target ranges I publish are there for everyone to compare against their own average entry price

For some, the Initial targets may be enough

Others may need the Potential or Extreme targets

That's why I always encourage subscribers to build a personal de-risking strategy around their own average entry price rather than someone else's

Since February, I've also been allocating into weakness, which improves my own average entry price

Paul šŸ‘šŸ»

Tom Wilson's avatar

Thanks Paul. And gratefully, I don't need more than initial projections to do well. I may add a tranche if we get another down draft. It feels like momentum is building. Summer doldrums ending? Another question....it seems that Sbet is somewhat favored over Bmnr by both you and Henrik. Is that strictly because the TA looks somewhat better or that more leverage is in play?

Paul Webborn's avatar

Hi Tom

BMNR is not in the rotation assets here at EW 2.0

I don't follow that asset

SBET -

The structure looks good as an ABC

Leverage -

I never use leverage as part of my trades

All my trades are spot only

Paul šŸ‘šŸ»